State of the Atlantic 10 (1-23-11)


W L Win% W L Win% PPP PPPA Marg
Duquesne 12 5 .706 5 0 1.000 1.089 0.899 0.190
Temple 13 5 .722 3 2 .600 1.071 0.884 0.187
Richmond 15 5 .750 4 1 .800 1.111 0.941 0.170
Xavier 13 5 .722 5 0 1.000 1.114 0.958 0.156
Dayton 15 5 .750 3 2 .600 1.063 0.970 0.093
Rhode Island 12 7 .632 3 2 .600 1.014 0.982 0.032
St. Louis 6 11 .353 2 3 .400 0.965 0.941 0.024
St. Bonaventure 10 8 .556 2 3 .400 1.025 1.012 0.013
Massachusetts 10 7 .588 3 2 .600 0.986 0.977 0.009
La Salle 9 11 .450 1 4 .200 1.041 1.048 -0.007
Charlotte 9 9 .500 1 3 .250 1.001 1.019 -0.018
St. Joseph’s 5 14 .263 0 5 .000 0.996 1.026 -0.030
George Washington 10 9 .526 3 2 .600 0.963 0.994 -0.031
Fordham 6 11 .353 0 5 .000 0.934 1.059 -0.125

On a point per possession basis the Dukes are the best team in Atlantic 10. They have improved their standing greatly in this regard during the current winning streak. The improvement has really been on defense. With the return of Eric Evans the Dukes have been able to run five guards in and out of the game putting constant pressure on opposing offenses. This team is a true Ron Everhart team in the highest form, fast athletic guards with long, athletic and small forwards that chase around the offense not permitting it to run its set plays.

The team that will likely give Duquesne the biggest problem is Xavier with its efficient offense, scoring 1.114 PPP. They can play an up tempo game with the Dukes and have superior talent. Fortunately, the Dukes get to play Xavier in Pittsburgh which helps. Richmond also scares me, but their weakness, offensive rebounding, is counterpointed be Duquesne’s biggest weakness, defensive rebounding. The two games against Dayton will be tough, as they always are, but I am more confident that the Dukes can play a smarter game and prevail in at least one of those matchups.  Is Duquesne the favorite to win the regular season crown? I think that distinction has to be bestowed to Xavier at this point after its quality win against Temple yesterday and its track record cannot be overlooked. X has more talent, but it is a comfort to know that statistically the Dukes have the edge right now.

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