State of the A-10 (2-21-11)


W L Win% W L Win% PPP PPPA Marg
Xavier 20 6 .769 11 1 .917 1.131 0.970 0.161
Temple 21 5 .808 11 2 .846 1.097 0.915 0.182
Richmond 21 7 .750 10 3 .769 1.109 0.972 0.137
Duquesne 17 8 .680 9 3 .750 1.078 0.905 0.173
Rhode Island 16 10 .615 7 5 .583 1.007 0.975 0.032
George Washington 14 12 .538 7 5 .583 1.007 1.007 0.000
Dayton 19 9 .679 7 6 .538 1.033 0.958 0.075
St. Bonaventure 14 11 .560 6 6 .500 1.049 1.019 0.030
Massacusetts 14 11 .560 6 6 .500 0.978 0.980 -0.002
La Salle 12 15 .444 4 8 .333 1.041 1.063 -0.022
St. Louis 9 17 .346 4 9 .308 0.969 0.961 0.008
Charlotte 10 16 .385 2 10 .167 0.993 1.019 -0.026
St. Joseph’s 7 19 .269 2 10 .167 1.015 1.058 -0.043
Fordham 6 18 .250 0 12 .000 0.961 1.073 -0.112

Looking ahead at the Atlantic 10 Tournament in Atlantic City, Duquesne looks to be in good shape to earn a first round bye. The top four teams will earn a bye and avoid having to play a first round contest at a campus site. The Dukes favorable position could easily change with a home loss against Rhode Island. URI and George Washington are tied for 5th, two games behind Ron Everhart’s club. Further, Duquesne holds the head to head tie breaker over GW already and a win against URI would essentially clinch a bye. GW has three tough matchups against Temple, Dayton and URI to close out the season following a game against Charlotte. It is unlikely that the Colonials will sweep them.

Following Temple’s dismantling of Richmond on Thursday it seems clear that Xavier and Temple are the class of the conference. Xavier, however, does continue to struggle against poor teams as evidenced by only a seven point win at home against league winless Fordham. I trust that Temple will play to nearly the same level every night whereas Xavier has a much higher variance. For this reason, I would not be surprised if Temple takes the top spot going into the Tournament. Richmond will probabbly jockey for position with Duquesne for those two bye spots perhaps finally deciding seeding in the season finale at Richmond between those two teams.

Further drama in the conference could occur in a contest between St. Joe’s and Charlotte in North Carolina. They are tied for the 12th best record in the conference, or the last entry into the A10 tournament. My money is on the Hawks. I’ll go with the superior club according to Ken Pomeroy’s numbers.

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